Lingle Poll Says She’s Up On Hirono, Tied With Case

We love polls from the candidates! Here’s the latest from the Lingle camp. Be sure to checkout who did the polling.

Michael Levine reports for Capitol Watch:

Republican Senate candidate Linda Lingle on Wednesday released the results of an internal poll showing her ahead of Mazie Hirono and tied with Ed Case in projected November matchups.

The sample size of 600 likely general election voters had a margin of error of +/- 4 percent. According to the poll, Lingle is up 45-40 over Hirono, just outside of the margin of error, and is behind Case 41-40 for a statistical tie.

“I am very pleased to see that my message of bipartisanship and common-sense solutions to our state and nation’s problems is resonating with the voters of Hawaii. The momentum and confidence that is building for our campaign are reflected in the polling numbers we received this morning,” Lingle said in a press release.

Last month, The Civil Beat Poll said Hirono led Lingle, 49 percent to 44 percent, and Case led Lingle, 52 percent to 36. But that survey was of likely primary election voters, not general election voters, so it’s a little dangerous to compare the two.

Lingle’s new survey also looked at the Democratic primary race and found a 40 percent for Hirono and 39 percent for Case, a statistical tie. That aligns with what The Civil Beat Poll found: a 46-46 tie.

The survey was conducted between Sunday and Tuesday by Voter/Consumer Research, a Washington D.C.-based firm. In the release, Lingle’s campaign describes VCR as “well-known and respected.”

A quick search for the firm shows that VCR conducted polls in South Carolina for then-Republican presidential hopeful George W. Bush in his 2000 primary fight with John McCain. Those calls were decried as a push-poll and purportedly included a question about McCain fathering an illegitimate black child.

Testimonials on VCR’s website include Karl Rove and Mitch McConnell, but they also include Stuart Rothenberg and Charlie Cook.

VCR had Lingle down by 11 points to Hirono last September and down by six points in April.

— Michael Levine

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